The U.S. attack on Venezuela has created a complex situation for guerrilla groups operating across the borderlands with Colombia, raising concerns about potential betrayal by Venezuelan regime officials and the possibility of a broader conflict. Local security experts highlight the impact on these groups, with one leader calling for unity among armed factions to resist the U.S. presence in Venezuela. Since the January 3rd attacks, reports indicate an increase in guerrilla movements on both sides of the border, prompting the National Liberation Army (ELN) to close camps in Venezuela and reassess security measures. Experts suggest that the ELN has long anticipated a U.S. attack, with one negotiator hinting at potential resource-driven conflicts and a letter intercepted by Colombian intelligence warning of internal traitors. The attack could also present an opportunity for the ELN to expand its continental ambitions, becoming a symbol of resistance in Latin America. However, a rival group leader, Ivan Mordisco, has called for a common front with the Venezuelan military, though his credibility and motives are questioned by some researchers. The ELN's history with the Venezuelan regime, dating back to Hugo Chávez's presidency, and its reliance on natural resources and illegal activities in Venezuela further complicate the situation. The U.S. and Colombia's Interior Minister have agreed to collaborate against the ELN, but human rights advocates emphasize the need for a comprehensive peace strategy that empowers communities to defend life, peace, and human rights across Latin America.
